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Rishi Sunak leaves 11 Downing Street before delivering his spring statement to parliament, 23 March 2022.
Rishi Sunak leaves 11 Downing Street before delivering his spring statement to parliament, 23 March 2022. Photograph: Tayfun Salcı/ZUMA Press Wire/Rex/Shutterstock
Rishi Sunak leaves 11 Downing Street before delivering his spring statement to parliament, 23 March 2022. Photograph: Tayfun Salcı/ZUMA Press Wire/Rex/Shutterstock

Rishi Sunak’s spring statement 2022 – the panel verdict

This article is more than 2 years old

How well has the chancellor responded to the cost-of-living crisis? Our panellists give their view

Miatta Fahnbulleh: Sunak’s support to families facing the cost-of-living crisis is woefully inadequate

Miatta Fahnbulleh. Circular panelist byline.DO NOT USE FOR ANY OTHER PURPOSE!

As the chancellor stood up today, families up and down the country were facing the worst real-terms income squeeze in 50 years – and inflation has just hit 6.2%. So, did he do enough to ease the cost-of-living crisis facing millions? The verdict is a resounding no.

The immediate support to families is woefully inadequate, with too little for the people struggling to afford life’s essentials and too much for those who don’t need it.

Only 7% of the benefits of the 5p cut to fuel duty will flow to the bottom fifth of households, compared to 33% for the richest fifth; the increase in the national insurance threshold doesn’t help the poorest and only provides a £250 cash boost to low-and-middle-income families; and the 1p cut in income tax in 2024 is little comfort for families struggling with rising prices today. And any support for families on low incomes has been dwarfed by the combined impact of price hikes and Sunak’s decision to reverse the £20 uplift to universal credit last autumn.

And yet there were things he could have done to take the pressure off families. He could have bolstered social security with a £15bn boost to give families at the sharp end of this crisis support worth £4,700 for a working couple with children; he could have opted to put a windfall tax on energy producers’ excess profits to soften the rise in energy prices for millions of families; and he could have invested £12bn in upgrading and insulating our homes, helping millions to reduce the energy they use.

Today we needed to see real and decisive action to tackle a crisis that people are dealing with every day – and yet help was thin on the ground, especially for those who needed it most. The chancellor is about to learn that you can’t tax-cut your way out of a cost-of-living crisis; and millions of people are about to pay the price.

  • Miatta Fahnbulleh is chief executive of the New Economics Foundation

Katy Balls: This is the start of the Tories’ election campaign

Katy Balls. Circular panelist byline. DO NOT USE FOR ANY OTHER PURPOSE!

Part of the reason Tory MPs have been so unhappy about the government’s plan to hike national insurance contributions (NICs) next month is that they worry it takes away a key reason to vote Tory at the next election: low taxes. It’s why when Rishi Sunak insists he is is instinctively a low-tax Tory, it tends to be met with scepticism by his colleagues.

In the spring statement, he finally put some meat on the bones of his claim. While he refused to axe the NICs rise, his decision to equalise the national insurance and income tax thresholds means that two thirds of voters should be paying less NICs even after the health and social care levy comes in.

What’s more, his decision to announce that the basic rate of income tax will be cut in 2024 to 19p offers the clearest sign yet of how the Tories plan to fight that election – and when it will be. Boris Johnson and Sunak had been discussing a pre-election income tax cut privately for some time. Now they have committed to it.

Indeed, with Johnson using prime minister’s questions to emphasise the importance of biology in determining someone’s sex and Sunak announcing an income tax cut half an hour later, the Tory campaign appears to be beginning to come into focus.

The October budget saw Sunak announce more public spending – something he appeared to do begrudgingly at the behest of the prime minister. He told MPs privately afterwards that in the future, every marginal pound should go on cutting taxes rather than spending. Today’s statement suggests he is getting his way.

Will it be enough? The issue for Sunak is that the cost-of-living crisis could get so bad in the time between now and the next election that few will feel all that grateful for a tax cut come 2024 – particularly if it is viewed as largely undoing the pain of the NICs increase.

Worryingly, the Office for Budget Responsibility says that inflation will lead to the biggest fall in living standards since records began in 1950. While Sunak cut fuel duty, the measures won’t be enough to stop people feeling pain from this in the coming months.

But for a Tory audience, a spring statement that emphasises cutting income tax, careful stewardship of public spending and resilient national finances is reassuring. These are the electoral dividing lines they know how to use.

  • Katy Balls is the Spectator’s deputy political editor

Alice Bell: Climate and energy policy is stuck in the waiting room

Alice Bell. Circular panelist byline.DO NOT USE FOR ANY OTHER PURPOSE!

The chancellor led with an appeal to motorists and, as many have pointed out, the cut in fuel duty is most likely to benefit an SUV-driving elite. Hardly visionary energy policy rooted in net zero and levelling up.

That said, it’s great to see Rishi Sunak explicitly reference energy efficiency, with VAT being cut to zero on energy-saving measures such as loft insulation. It’s nowhere near enough, but suggests the Treasury finally understands the vital role of reducing energy demand. It would be good to see more of this in the long-awaited energy security statement, expected next week.

However, this measure is unlikely to help families on lower incomes in the short run. Doubling the household support fund is welcome, especially for the people already struggling to pay gas bills, but it’s a long way from sufficient.

Overall, once again, climate and energy policy is stuck in the waiting room. In the meantime, more and more people are being pulled into fuel poverty. Earth’s polar regions are heating up. We don’t have time to wait.

  • Alice Bell is co-director at the climate change charity Possible and author of Our Biggest Experiment: A History of the Climate Crisis

Diane Skidmore: The chancellor has done little to help pensioners dealing with fuel poverty

Diane Skidmore. Circular panelist byline.DO NOT USE FOR ANY OTHER PURPOSE!

Rishi Sunak’s announcement of a fuel duty cut does very little to help pensioners such as me living in fuel poverty. In fact, it is the wealthiest people who use the most energy for cars and heating, and will benefit most from the cut.

The measure does little for those who have reduced their energy usage down to the bone. Everyone ought to have the right to enough energy, free, to cover heating, cooking and lighting. To pay for such a pricing system the government could introduce a windfall tax on the profits of oil and gas companies, and put an end to fossil fuel subsidies. We are paying fossil fuel companies huge subsidies and they are increasing inequality, all the while destroying the planet.

The chancellor also failed to increase the state pension at a time when prices for everyday items are increasing, leaving people like me struggling to pay for the basics.

Our upside-down economy needs a complete rethink. The spring statement shows Sunak was not thinking at all about people in poverty.

  • Diane Skidmore is a pensioner who campaigns with Fuel Poverty Action

  • Join Hugh Muir, Richard Partington and Anneliese Dodds MP in a livestreamed event on the cost of living crisis and the effect on the poorest households, on Thursday 14 April 2022, at 8pm BST | 9pm CEST | 12pm PDT | 3pm EDT Book tickets here

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